Do You Need Time For Your Retirement Investments To Recover?

Andrew Homeyer • Aug 04, 2020
COVID-19 is wreaking havoc on retirement investments, particularly for those who rely on dividends as part of their income. Over the past decade, many older Canadians have taken a riskier approach with retirement investments because of low bond yields and interest rates caused by the financial crisis in 2008. 

Instead of playing it safe, many retirees have turned to the stock market for better returns and dividend income. With global markets in a highly volatile state due to the pandemic, right now it is challenging to move investments to safer ground, and many companies have put dividend payments on hold. 

If you need immediate cash to ride out the remainder of the pandemic, you may think you need to liquidate some investments. But what if there were other options that can provide the much-needed cash without taking investment losses? Consider borrowing from your home equity instead of liquidating investments prematurely. Here’s why this makes sense.

Take advantage of low interest rates

Uncertainty in the economy has caused the government to lower interest rates. Mortgage rates are at historic lows, and borrowing money at this point in time doesn’t cost a lot. By gaining access to your home equity through mortgage financing, you can somewhat bridge the gap. You can increase your cash flow until the markets, economy, and your investment portfolio recover. 

Historically, stock markets have always recovered. 

Bloomberg’s Canadian retirement expert Dale Jackson explains, “The S&P 500 lost half its value between October 2007 when the meltdown began and its March 2009 bottom. By October 2013, the S&P 500 topped its pre-meltdown high and has since doubled from there (pre-pandemic). It wasn’t until June 2014 that the TSX topped its pre-meltdown high. It has since rallied an additional 20 per cent (pre-pandemic).”

If the markets recovered both the Great Depression and Great Recession, there’s little reason to fear it won’t happen post-pandemic. The timing of the recovery, however, is uncertain. 

Strategically tapping into home equity

You may be reluctant to use home equity to provide for living expenses until the post-pandemic economy recovers. And that is understandable. You worked hard to pay off your mortgage, why would you want a new one? 

Well, if you’re faced with the choice of selling investments at a loss, or borrowing against your home equity to give yourself  time to bridge the current cash flow gap and allow your investments to recover, it really becomes a matter of calculating the dollars and cents. 

This is where expert financial planning comes in. You should be considering ALL your options, not just the ones we’ve been conditioned to consider over the years. 

Unfortunately, there is no guidebook for navigating a global pandemic. However, there are options you can consider, now is a good time to consider them.

Reverse Mortgage

If you’re 55+ and occupying your home as your primary residence, you should seriously consider a reverse mortgage. It’s the ultimate mortgage deferral option. 

You’ve likely seen commercial ads for reverse mortgages. And while some people think this is a risky way to access funds, if you intend to live in your home throughout your retirement years, it can be an inexpensive source of funds. Especially given our current low-rate environment. 

One common misconception is that the bank owns your home if you get a reverse mortgage. This just simply isn’t true. A reverse mortgage is like any other mortgage, however, instead of making regular payments, the mortgage amount increases each year and is due when you choose to sell your house. 

Other mortgage options

If you’ve got a steady pension income, you may be able to qualify for conventional mortgage financing. However, if you’re still paying off your first mortgage, you can apply for a second mortgage based on the remaining equity in your home. 

It should be noted that a second mortgage is a high-risk option with significantly higher interest rates. If you’re cash-strapped already and are having trouble making payments on your first mortgage, there’s no benefit gained by adding a second payment.

Another option to consider is a Home Equity Line of Credit (HELOC), which operates much like a bank overdraft. It’s a pool of funds attached to your home that can be used when cash flow is low and paid back when cash flow improves. Interest rates are typically low because the line of credit is secured by your home equity. Further, interest is calculated based on actual borrowing not on the amount approved. 

Avoid Fear-Based Decisions

Making fear-based investment decisions rarely work out. Because these are uncertain times, it’s important to consult with financial experts to discuss your options and allay your concerns. 

Remember you’re not alone. Millions of Canadians are in similar circumstances. There are options. As part of a solid financial plan, using your home equity can provide funds that act as a bridge to avoid investment losses until the economy and market recover. 

If you’d like to discuss your financial situation, contact me anytime for a free consultation. I would love to work through all your options with you!

RECENT POSTS

By Andrew Homeyer 26 Oct, 2022
Bank of Canada increases policy interest rate by 50 basis points, continues quantitative tightening. FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario October 26, 2022 The Bank of Canada today increased its target for the overnight rate to 3¾%, with the Bank Rate at 4% and the deposit rate at 3¾%. The Bank is also continuing its policy of quantitative tightening. Inflation around the world remains high and broadly based. This reflects the strength of the global recovery from the pandemic, a series of global supply disruptions, and elevated commodity prices, particularly for energy, which have been pushed up by Russia’s attack on Ukraine. The strength of the US dollar is adding to inflationary pressures in many countries. Tighter monetary policies aimed at controlling inflation are weighing on economic activity around the world. As economies slow and supply disruptions ease, global inflation is expected to come down. In the United States, labour markets remain very tight even as restrictive financial conditions are slowing economic activity. The Bank projects no growth in the US economy through most of next year. In the euro area, the economy is forecast to contract in the quarters ahead, largely due to acute energy shortages. China’s economy appears to have picked up after the recent round of pandemic lockdowns, although ongoing challenges related to its property market will continue to weigh on growth. Overall, the Bank projects that global growth will slow from 3% in 2022 to about 1½% in 2023, and then pick back up to roughly 2½% in 2024. This is a slower pace of growth than was projected in the Bank’s July Monetary Policy Report (MPR). In Canada, the economy continues to operate in excess demand and labour markets remain tight. The demand for goods and services is still running ahead of the economy’s ability to supply them, putting upward pressure on domestic inflation. Businesses continue to report widespread labour shortages and, with the full reopening of the economy, strong demand has led to a sharp rise in the price of services. The effects of recent policy rate increases by the Bank are becoming evident in interest-sensitive areas of the economy: housing activity has retreated sharply, and spending by households and businesses is softening. Also, the slowdown in international demand is beginning to weigh on exports. Economic growth is expected to stall through the end of this year and the first half of next year as the effects of higher interest rates spread through the economy. The Bank projects GDP growth will slow from 3¼% this year to just under 1% next year and 2% in 2024. In the last three months, CPI inflation has declined from 8.1% to 6.9%, primarily due to a fall in gasoline prices. However, price pressures remain broadly based, with two-thirds of CPI components increasing more than 5% over the past year. The Bank’s preferred measures of core inflation are not yet showing meaningful evidence that underlying price pressures are easing. Near-term inflation expectations remain high, increasing the risk that elevated inflation becomes entrenched. The Bank expects CPI inflation to ease as higher interest rates help rebalance demand and supply, price pressures from global supply disruptions fade, and the past effects of higher commodity prices dissipate. CPI inflation is projected to move down to about 3% by the end of 2023, and then return to the 2% target by the end of 2024. Given elevated inflation and inflation expectations, as well as ongoing demand pressures in the economy, the Governing Council expects that the policy interest rate will need to rise further. Future rate increases will be influenced by our assessments of how tighter monetary policy is working to slow demand, how supply challenges are resolving, and how inflation and inflation expectations are responding. Quantitative tightening is complementing increases in the policy rate. We are resolute in our commitment to restore price stability for Canadians and will continue to take action as required to achieve the 2% inflation target. Information note The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is December 7, 2022. The Bank will publish its next full outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, in the MPR on January 25, 2023. View the October 2022 Monetary Policy Report
By Andrew Homeyer 07 Sep, 2022
Bank of Canada increases policy interest rate by 75 basis points, continues quantitative tightening. FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario September 7, 2022 The Bank of Canada today increased its target for the overnight rate to 3¼%, with the Bank Rate at 3½% and the deposit rate at 3¼%. The Bank is also continuing its policy of quantitative tightening. The global and Canadian economies are evolving broadly in line with the Bank’s July projection. The effects of COVID-19 outbreaks, ongoing supply disruptions, and the war in Ukraine continue to dampen growth and boost prices. Global inflation remains high and measures of core inflation are moving up in most countries. In response, central banks around the world continue to tighten monetary policy. Economic activity in the United States has moderated, although the US labour market remains tight. China is facing ongoing challenges from COVID shutdowns. Commodity prices have been volatile: oil, wheat and lumber prices have moderated while natural gas prices have risen. In Canada, CPI inflation eased in July to 7.6% from 8.1% because of a drop in gasoline prices. However, inflation excluding gasoline increased and data indicate a further broadening of price pressures, particularly in services. The Bank’s core measures of inflation continued to move up, ranging from 5% to 5.5% in July. Surveys suggest that short-term inflation expectations remain high. The longer this continues, the greater the risk that elevated inflation becomes entrenched. The Canadian economy continues to operate in excess demand and labour markets remain tight. Canada’s GDP grew by 3.3% in the second quarter. While this was somewhat weaker than the Bank had projected, indicators of domestic demand were very strong – consumption grew by about 9½% and business investment was up by close to 12%. With higher mortgage rates, the housing market is pulling back as anticipated, following unsustainable growth during the pandemic. The Bank continues to expect the economy to moderate in the second half of this year, as global demand weakens and tighter monetary policy here in Canada begins to bring demand more in line with supply. Given the outlook for inflation, the Governing Council still judges that the policy interest rate will need to rise further. Quantitative tightening is complementing increases in the policy rate. As the effects of tighter monetary policy work through the economy, we will be assessing how much higher interest rates need to go to return inflation to target. The Governing Council remains resolute in its commitment to price stability and will continue to take action as required to achieve the 2% inflation target. INFORMATION NOTE The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is October 26, 2022. The Bank will publish its next full outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, in the MPR at the same time.
By Andrew Homeyer 13 Jul, 2022
Bank of Canada increases policy interest rate by 100 basis points, continues quantitative tightening. FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario July 13, 2022 The Bank of Canada today increased its target for the overnight rate to 2½%, with the Bank Rate at 2¾% and the deposit rate at 2½%. The Bank is also continuing its policy of quantitative tightening (QT). Inflation in Canada is higher and more persistent than the Bank expected in its April Monetary Policy Report (MPR), and will likely remain around 8% in the next few months. While global factors such as the war in Ukraine and ongoing supply disruptions have been the biggest drivers, domestic price pressures from excess demand are becoming more prominent. More than half of the components that make up the CPI are now rising by more than 5%. With this broadening of price pressures, the Bank’s core measures of inflation have moved up to between 3.9% and 5.4%. Also, surveys indicate more consumers and businesses are expecting inflation to be higher for longer, raising the risk that elevated inflation becomes entrenched in price- and wage-setting. If that occurs, the economic cost of restoring price stability will be higher. Global inflation is higher, reflecting the impact of the Russian invasion of Ukraine, ongoing supply constraints, and strong demand. Many central banks are tightening monetary policy to combat inflation, and the resulting tighter financial conditions are moderating economic growth. In the United States, high inflation and rising interest rates are contributing to a slowdown in domestic demand. China’s economy is being held back by waves of restrictive measures to contain COVID-19 outbreaks. Oil prices remain high and volatile. The Bank now expects global economic growth to slow to about 3½% this year and 2% in 2023 before strengthening to 3% in 2024. Further excess demand has built up in the Canadian economy. Labour markets are tight with a record low unemployment rate, widespread labour shortages, and increasing wage pressures. With strong demand, businesses are passing on higher input and labour costs by raising prices. Consumption is robust, led by a rebound in spending on hard-to-distance services. Business investment is solid and exports are being boosted by elevated commodity prices. The Bank estimates that GDP grew by about 4% in the second quarter. Growth is expected to slow to about 2% in the third quarter as consumption growth moderates and housing market activity pulls back following unsustainable strength during the pandemic. The Bank expects Canada’s economy to grow by 3½% in 2022, 1¾% in 2023, and 2½% in 2024. Economic activity will slow as global growth moderates and tighter monetary policy works its way through the economy. This, combined with the resolution of supply disruptions, will bring demand and supply back into balance and alleviate inflationary pressures. Global energy prices are also projected to decline. The July outlook has inflation starting to come back down later this year, easing to about 3% by the end of next year and returning to the 2% target by the end of 2024. With the economy clearly in excess demand, inflation high and broadening, and more businesses and consumers expecting high inflation to persist for longer, the Governing Council decided to front-load the path to higher interest rates by raising the policy rate by 100 basis points today. The Governing Council continues to judge that interest rates will need to rise further, and the pace of increases will be guided by the Bank’s ongoing assessment of the economy and inflation. Quantitative tightening continues and is complementing increases in the policy interest rate. The Governing Council is resolute in its commitment to price stability and will continue to take action as required to achieve the 2% inflation target. Information note The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is September 7, 2022. The Bank will publish its next full outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, in the MPR on October 26, 2022.
Share by: